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10.27.2004

Marginal voters

On September 15 I sent this to the Drink Tank contributors:
Here's my take on the strategies: both campaigns, planning on winning in case of a close race, have a logistical challenge to turn out demographics with strong feelings but who are generally incapable of the logistics of voting. Bush's key nonvoters are highly religious and opposed to taxes (but not government programs). Kerry's are Williamsburg types -- don't like Bush because he's obviously associated with the wealthy and completely alien culturally, but not with it enough to register. Neither group are very attractive -- they both alienate swing voters -- so the big logistical task of getting them registered and transported to the appropriate poll is pretty much underground.

Since then, one of by best friends got a job in the Minnesota office and I thought it would be fun, interesting, and good for the country to do some work here, so I've ended up by chance doing a little data management for the Democratic side of that statement, and have been meaning to post how much this task in the election has strengthened my preference for Kerry. His marginal voters are really my type and Bush's marginal voters are, in my opinion, largely the dreggs of American society (remember Karl Rove says he thinks evangelicals chose not to vote in 2000 because the Republican candidate had a DUI -- I think we at Drink Tank are more forgiving than these so-called Christians).

This is all really just a way of setting up this cheap shot at our Bush-supporting readers and contributors: with everyone decided and the election come down to turnout, have fun hoping the creationists show up at the polls in large numbers :)

7 Comments:

At 2:29 PM, Blogger Ivan said...

how forgiving are you?

is creationists better than felons voting on mass? some strategy.

besides, those addicted to the dripfeed of the welfare state are worse marginal voters than evangelicals.

in addition, considering their depressing declared numbers, libertarians could also be considered marginal voters on both sides, but gun rights & welfare state hate will trump patriot act concerns.

 
At 3:56 PM, Blogger Miguel said...

Creationists certainly are not better than felons voting en masse in Minnesota -- both are perfectly legal here but the felons probably know more about criminal justice and almost certainly know more about history that biblical literalists.

Also, being evangelical and recieving welfare are far from mutually exclusive categories.

 
At 5:01 PM, Blogger Ivan said...

actually felons are not allowed to vote.
or is that a state-by-state thing, and legal in minnesota?

i'm not sure i trust the felon-knows-more-history assertion

 
At 5:24 PM, Blogger Miguel said...

Convicted felons can vote in Minnesota, no problem, and that's exactly as it should be. Many people who haven't committed felonies even agree with me on that. (It is state by state, btw.)

 
At 5:34 PM, Blogger joŇ°ko said...

Working for the duopolistic despots, are you Miguel? You must REALLY want to win that bet! ;)

 
At 9:08 PM, Blogger Miguel said...

Yeah, I've got $ signs in my eyes! Jesse Ventura came in today to grumble about how even though he really wanted John Kerry to win and as a veteran can't imagine veterans supporting Bush, etc. etc. what we should really remember is that the two party system is a disaster for democracy, and Democrats aren't good just because JK should win. It was a little weird because the people I know in the office (and me) are like him: 3rd party members who think the President is a dummy and he should be removed for the sake of the country... that is, working for a Democrat for that reason, not out of party loyalty.

 
At 10:26 PM, Blogger hexod.us said...

Miguel, precisely. I find it mildly amusing when Republicans toss out their little anti-Kerry factoids ("Did you know that Kerry opposed 68% of all tax cuts in the years 1988-1994, inclusive?") and expect people to jump to his defense, as if they are pro-Kerry or summat.

I would say most Democrat voters could give a shit about Kerry(I'm sure he's a semi-decent chap, at least, which is good enough for me), as long as G. Bush does not get re-elected.

Fuckin put a canned ham as the Democratic candidate and I'll vote for it. It's not about Kerry, its about Bush.

 

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