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10.29.2004

Electoral Vote Predictor Jump

There is no lack of mixed messages.

The Electoral-vote.com prediction went from 254-250 Kerry-bush, to 236-281 Kerry-Bush in one day. But, the IEM shows a Kerry bump, as many people are selling "Bush_By_>52%", BUT the polls show a consistent Bush lead by 2-3% on average.

I can't wait to vote.


More on the EC -
A friend of mine is voting in his home state of Michigan instead of PA. This is dumb from a swing-state perspective, because PA has gotten closer recently. But, WI & OH will determine the election, as Bush wins Florida, but Kerry wins PA & MN.

I can't believe I can be so bold in making a prediction in such a volatile and close race.

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